Activity 1.1 E
The exercises in this activity will help you explore trends in your context or in the wider humanitarian sector that could create problems or opportunities.
If you are organising or facilitating these exercieses, make sure that you understand any sensitivities within the group regarding political and social trends and manage the discussions accordingly. If you are in a conflict environment, or working with people affected by conflict, carrying out a conflict analysis first should be seriously considered.
Arup Foresight Drivers of Change App
An app to explore trends that will shape the future
The world’s largest open foresight initiative
An interesting list of workshops/games/activities
UK Government Office for Science (2017) The Futures Toolkit: Tools for Futures Thinking and Foresight Across UK Government
See p29 for ‘7 Questions’ exercise and p35 for ‘Delphi’ exercise
Tetlock, P, Garner, D (2016) Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
Insights into the potential traps of foresight and predictions